Market Comment

News: Diamond market cautious amid China slowdown and US economic uncertainty. Polished prices declining. Inventory remains high. IIJS show reflects upbeat Indian jewelry market and spurs optimism for Diwali. Cutters maintaining lower production and anticipate strong demand for De Beers rough at next week’s sight. Speculation that large manufacturers able to purchase Alrosa rough through non-dollar payment channels. Signet Jewelers inks deal to buy Blue Nile for $360M, lowers FY revenue guidance by 5% to $7.6B vs. $7.8B last year. Titan 1Q sales +169% to $1.2B, profit of $99M vs. $2.3M last year. Sarine 1H revenue -13% to $13M, profit -48% to $6.5M, reflecting drop in rough sales and manufacturing.

Fancies: Market has cooled for 0.30 to 1.20 ct. diamonds. Supply shortages of well-cut fancies supporting prices. 1.20 to 3.99 ct., F-J, VS-SI goods stable. Oval is leading shape, followed by Radiant, Emerald, Pear, Cushion and Marquise. Retailers offering broader product ranges as consumers seek alternative cuts. Growing interest in fancy-shape engagement rings. Oversizes trading at higher prices than usual. Excellent shapes commanding premiums. Off-make, poorly cut fancies illiquid and difficult to sell.